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HOW MUCH MONEY DO I NEED FOR RETIREMENT?

 

RETIRE USING THE 4% RULE

 

 

The Shockingly Simple Math Behind Early Retirement

The average American retirement lasts about 18 years. Most Americans will need high priced long term health care.

The 4% Rule: The Easy Answer to “How Much Do I Need for Retirement"

The Safe Withdrawal Rate
is the maximum rate at which you can spend your retirement savings, such that you don’t run out in your lifetime. 
Just take your annual spending level, and multiply it by 25. -- SPEND
That’s how much you need to retire, at the most.

A $25,000 A YEAR SPENDER NEEDS $625,000 TO RETIRE.
I’ve got more than that, plus various safety margins in the lifestyle, so all is good.  Without undue risk, and as long as you have skills that can be used to earn money eventually in the future (hint: you do), I can even advocate an SWR of 5%. In other words, get your expenses down to $25k, and you can quit your job on $500k or less. Then you can use the methods described in First Retire, then Get Rich to gradually increase your safety margin (and effectively decrease your withdrawal rate) as you age.  So there’s no need to debate. 4% is a perfectly good answer, which means 25 times your annual expenses is a perfectly good goal to save for. Along the way, you might find your annual expenses melting away, which makes things ever-more-attainable (as shown in the shockingly simple math behind early retirement post). But worry, you must not.

Early Retirement 
How Has The 4% Rule Held Up Since The Tech Bubble And The 2008 Financial Crisis? (Just Fine) https://archive.is/0qm2c

SOCIAL SECURITY

 

 

52% of American households with someone 55 or older have nothing saved for retirement

By 2020, the wealth of those currently 52 to 70 will peak at more than 50 percent of the nation's assets, according to the Deloitte Center for Financial Services. 61% of grandparents financially supported adult children in the previous year, according to the "Family Support in Graying Societies" report of the Washington, D.C.-based Pew Research Center.  

During the same time frame, 39% helped with errands, housework and home repairs, and 33% pitched in to look after the grandkids.

Grandparents are the account owners of 13 percent of the almost 13 million 529 accounts as of June 2016, according to research firm Strategic Insight. As the account owner, you also have discretion over which investment options to select within those funds.

 

apply to social security

 

How much can you earn  and still get benefits?  

If you were born January 2, 1943,  through January 1, 1955, then your full retirement age for retirement insurance benefits is 66.

  • If you work, and are full retirement age or older, you  may keep all of your benefits, no matter  how much you earn.
  • If you’re younger  than full retirement age, there is a limit  to how much you can earn and still receive full Social Security benefits.
  • If  you’re younger than full retirement age  during all of 2015, we must deduct $1 from your benefits for each $2 you earn  above $15,720.
  • If you reach full retirement age  during 2015, we must deduct $1 from your benefits for each $3 you earn above  $41,880 until the month you reach full retirement age.

When to start your Claim?
Payments increase by 8 percent for each year of delayed claiming up until age 70. After age 70 there is no additional financial incentive to delay starting your payments.

 

The easiest way to apply for Social  Security retirement benefits  www.socialsecurity.gov/  

If you do not  have access to the Internet,you can call
1-800-772-1213 between 7 a.m. and 7 p.m., Monday through Friday, to apply by phone.
You also can apply at any Social Security office. To avoid having to wait, call first to make  an appointment.

Social Security benefits are not intended to be  your only source of income when you retire.
On average, Social Security will replace about 40 percent of your annual pre-retirement earnings. You will need other savings, investments, pensions, or retirement accounts to live comfortably when you retire. 

The full retirement age is 66 for most baby boomers and 67 for everyone born in 1960 or later.
If your full retirement age is 66benefits will be reduced:

25 percent at age 62;
20 percent at age 63; 
13⅓ percent at age 64; or 
6⅔ percent at age 65
Full retirement age is between 66 and 67.

Benefits by year of birth

 

REQUEST A COPY OF YOUR SOCIAL SECURITY STATEMENT

Social Security Statement Samples PDF

Can I create a my Social Security account if I have a security freeze or a fraud alert on my credit
report?
>

NO YOU cannot create my Social Security account online if you have a security freeze, fraud alert, or both on your credit report. You first must ask  to have  the freeze or alert removed.  To create a my Social Security account in person without removing the security freeze or fraud alert, visit your local Social Security office.

Print out the request form

MAIL IT TO:
Social Security Administration
Wilkes Barre Data Operations Center
P.O. Box 7004
Wilkes Barre, PA 18767-7004

 

FINRA AND THE SEC  ARE USELESS BECAUSE THEY DON'T SHUT THEM DOWN

When selecting anyone to advise you with your Social Security or Taxes make sure:

Check his or her background. Because advisors may carry multiple licenses, we suggest checking all three of the resources below.

  1. Investment Advisor Search - Adviserinfo.sec.gov 
    Registered Investment Advisors and their representatives are listed in Investment Advisor Search.
  2. FINRA BrokerCheck - Brokercheck.FINRA.org
    Broker Dealers and their representatives are listed in FINRA BrokerCheck.
  3. 2017 Special Report: Wall Street's self-regulator allows safe havens for tainted brokers
  4. 2017 FINRA, the primary regulator of U.S. brokerages, requires brokers to disclose incidents in their past that might give investors concern. At least 30 percent of brokers at the 48 firms listed below have a history of such FINRA-mandated disclosures. cached and found here
  5. National Association of Insurance Commissioners - http://www.naic.org/state_web_map.htm 
    Because insurance is regulated at the state level, you'll need to visit the web site for your state department of insurance. The NAIC offers a web site to help you find your state's web site.

Does Your Tax Preparer Know What They're Doing?

The problem is that it’s hard to be sure your preparer knows what he or she is doing. Almost anyone can claim to be a tax preparer; no CPA, law degree, or formal education is required. Pretty much the only thing you need to open up shop is a tax identification number, which the IRS gives out for a $50 fee. Consumer groups are pushing federal and state lawmakers to impose tighter rules on preparers, requiring certification and education. IRS database of tax professionals who voluntarily provided proof of their education and credentials. In addition to CPAs and attorneys, the list includes “enrolled agents,” who go through at least 72 hours of tax courses every three years.

​WHERE SHOULD YOU LIVE?

 

Which States Are Givers and Which Are Takers?  
How much the federal government spends per person in each state compared with the amount its citizens pay in federal income taxes.

2015 Best & Worst States to be a Taxpayer

Living in Central America 
Rising costs of housing and social norms that discouraged savings have also contributed to the lack of a nest egg. “Boomers’ retirement savings, on average, is about $50 grand,” says Putnam. “And then, you have coming up behind them a generation that has massive student debt. The boomers didn’t save, and their millennial kids have student loans. The idea of kids helping their parents in the future, or transferring their funds into their parents’ care, is probably unrealistic. So the issue of retirement and money will be huge.”  The rising cost of health care is the other side of this daunting challenge. “We are medical refugees,” says Peter Wendt, who moved to Panama City with his wife from California nine years ago when both were still in their early 60s. (They now live in Boquete.) “Our decision to move abroad was twofold: to live a great quality of life at minimal cost, and most importantly, to find excellent health care at minimal cost.”

 

Saving Decisions 401K

 

SEC Investment Adviser Public Disclosure website

Prioritizing financial goals is as important as having them.

Some reasons you might not want to max out your 401K:

Being a good economist, I aspire to smooth my consumption despite large swings in earnings. That has led me to place a high premium on liquidity. Retirement accounts lock up my money until age 59.5, unless I’m willing to pay 10% in penalties to take it out earlier. About 25% of Americans have less than $500 in the bank. Lack of liquid savings in part, explains why so many people take money out of their retirement accounts early and pay penalties that eat into their meagre savings.

 

Health Care

 

Dangers lurk within health savings accounts for retirees

Health Savings Accounts are surging in popularity - and that can lead to some complications for older workers who enroll in Medicare.  Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) are offered to workers enrolled in high-deductible health insurance plans. The accounts are used primarily to meet deductible costs; employers often contribute and workers can make pretax contributions up to $3,350 for individuals, and $6,750 for families; the dollars can be invested and later spent tax-free to meet healthcare expenses. As more employees work past traditional retirement age, some sticky issues arise for HSA account holders tied to enrollment in Medicare.
The key issue: HSAs can only be used alongside qualified high-deductible health insurance plans. The minimum deductible allowed for HSA-qualified accounts this year is $1,300 for individual coverage ($2,600 for family coverage). Medicare is not considered a high-deductible plan, although the Part A deductible this year is $1,288 (for Part B, it is $166).

According to a Fidelity 2015 study couples retiring at age 62 can anticipate estimated health care costs of $17,000 a year until Medicare eligibility, including the monthly premium plus out-of-pocket costs.

That’s the estimate for an unsubsidized health plan. Those with moderate incomes — defined as a family of two earning up to $62,920 in 2014 — qualify for premium subsidies under Obamacare.  Yet costs can add up even with assistance, and when it comes to health care, “You can’t dial these expenses up and down much — they are what they are,” said Sunit Patel, senior vice president of benefits consulting at Fidelity Investments.

NYT Arbitration clauses have proliferated over the last 10 years as companies have added them to tens of millions of contracts. 
Nursing homes across the country require their residents to go to arbitration, where there is no judge or jury and the proceedings are hidden from public scrutiny. The secretive nature of arbitration can obscure patterns of wrongdoing from prospective residents and their families. It is the most basic principle of contract law: Once a contract is signed, judges have ruled, it is legally binding.
Fight Back
A designated person who signs the contract as your health care proxy — someone who was authorized to make decisions about your medical treatment —  lawyers argued that your health care proxy did not have the authority to bind the patient to arbitration. In 2014, a judge ruled in  favor and overcame an arbitration clause by using the fundamentals of contract law to fight back.
Appeals courts across the country have been throwing out arbitration agreements signed by family members of nursing home residents.  For years, judges hearing elder-abuse cases rejected arguments that arbitration clauses in nursing home contracts were patently unfair because they were signed by people who did not understand them or perhaps even realize they existed. https://archive.is/rBma2

INSURANCE

PHARMA and the INSURANCE INDUSTRY FRAUD
Bernie Madoff whistleblower Harry Markopolos insurance industry fraud - Business Insider http://ow.ly/6vu1305PBri
The Big Four accounting firms are so bad at catching fraud that they couldn’t even catch a cold, with incentives in the industry totally screwed up. That’s the view of the of the whistleblower who uncovered the $65 billion Madoff Ponzi scheme and he thinks fraud is endemic in the insurance industry as well.   Harry Markopol

LONG TERM HEALTH CARE
 

Projecting Retirement Health Care Costs

 
MIT Age Lab http://agelab.mit.edu/
Future healthcare scenarios, which can be one based on their current strategy, and two others with and without long-term care insurance. The analysis, for example, showed one couple whose families had a history of medical problems that buying long-term care insurance could boost the probability of reaching their retirement goals from 40 percent to 76 percent.
 
 
Many Americans age 50 or more do not include healthcare costs in their retirement planning, even though the price tag is their greatest concern.

Long-term care insurance requires long-term planning 
Long-term care insurance really is long term: buying a policy commits you to pay premiums over decades. If you stop those payments, thousands of dollars you have already spent might as well have gone down the drain.

Before age 50, rejection rate for long-term care insurance is just 14%. 
Rising healthcare expenses can eat away at retirement savings. Future total healthcare costs for a 65-year-old couple retiring this year will average $394,000 in today's dollars. A couple that retires in 2025 at age 65 will need $464,000 to fund those same expenses, which include various Medicare premiums, copays and dental visits. The bills only rise as couples live beyond average life expectancies. Healthy retirees, for example, typically spend more on healthcare than those with medical problems, such as diabetes, according to HealthView, the data provider. That is because good health often means living longer.

DRUGS
The Justice Department  files charges regarding drug price collusion. The DOJ collusion probe news is the latest sign that the drug industry face increasing regulatory and political pressure over price https://archive.is/XDvRw
 
2016 - 20 States Sue Drug Companies for Collusion, Conspiracy 'We have evidence of widespread participation in illegal conspiracies across the generic drug industry,' says Connecticut attorney general -- https://archive.is/XLZE9
"The misconduct was conceived and carried out by senior drug company executives and their subordinate marketing and sales executives." George Jepsen, Connecticut Attorney General. The other plaintiff states are Delaware, Florida, Hawaii, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Washington.
  • DIY Epi Pen http://anonhq.com/pharma-hackers-offer-epipencil-a-30-diy-alternative-to-600-epipen-video/

MEDICARE

 
 
To enroll, there are three key steps to follow. But before you do anything, be sure you know exactly what kinds of Medicare coverage you want.
 
Part A (hospital insurance) is free to those who have worked long enough to also qualify for Social Security retirement benefits. You can also qualify for free Part A if your spouse qualifies for Social Security.   
Medicare Part B covers expenses for doctors, equipment and other outpatient expenses.
The Part B application form itself has only a dozen lines for things like your name, address, and Social Security number. Still, it is surrounded by four pages of explanation.  Together, Parts A and B constitute basic or “original” Medicare, which is the coverage choice for some 70% of Medicare beneficiaries. The other 30% opt for Medicare Advantage plans through private insurers. But they still need to sign up first for Parts A (automatic for most enrollees) and Part B. 

Medicaid

 

Medicaid Preferred Drug List
The new dashboard allows users to compare spending on 80 drugs that have cost Medicare significant amounts of money in 2014. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), which released the dashboard, says it is trying to increase transparency around drug prices amid rising scrutiny. 
CMS Drug Spending Dashboards Inquiries regarding this data can be sent to DrugListInput@cms.hhs.gov

  • Pfizer to pay $784M to settle claims it overcharged Medicaid
    https://www.statnews.com/pharmalot/2016/02/16/pfizer-to-pay-784m-to-settle-claims-of-overcharging-medicaid/
    https://archive.is/0j7BD

  • Mylan refuses to testify at Senate hearing about EpiPen rebates to Medicaid
    https://www.statnews.com/pharmalot/2016/11/21/mylan-epipen-medicaid-senate/
    https://archive.is/Y8YNj

  • Pfizer Wants to Keep Lawmakers in the Dark Over State Medicaid Contracts they wanted to know the amount the state was getting back in rebates for name-brand medicine.
    http://kut.org/post/pfizer-wants-keep-lawmakers-dark-over-state-medicaid-contracts

  • Pfizer has filed a lawsuit against a Texas state agency for releasing Medicaid rebate data to a pair of state lawmakers, claiming the move violated federal and state laws that protect its confidential information.
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BzNeZe9L7IJlU0NSVjNSVXFNMHc/view
    https://www.statnews.com/pharmalot/2016/11/18/pfizer-texas-medicaid/

 

 

WEALTH GAP
 

 

2015 The growing wealth gap that nobody is talking about

If you’re over 62, your odds of having at least $1 million in net wealth (your total assets minus your total debt) are relatively achievable -- about 1 in 7.

But if you are under 40, your odds are low: 1 in 55. Young people have always been poor, but today's young people are poorer than most. 

Tips for pessimistic millennials
- Take advantage of your time and energy to make as much money as possible.  Not all of your income has to come from one source. You can rent out your apartment via Airbnb, find side gigs at TaskRabbit.com, a tutoring job via tutor.com and discover freelance opportunities at upwork.com.
Buy a home because you want to live in it, not because you assume you will make a profit, experts say. Make sure you are not borrowing more than you can pay off.
- diversify your investments
- SAVE SAVE SAVE
- Make a Financial Plan
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/06/us-money-millennials-idUSKCN0QB1O020150806

An analysis of Federal Reserve data by the Center for Retirement Research

2013 pre-retirement households (age 55-64) with annual income below $39,000 had median total retirement savings of $13,000 in 401(k) and IRA accounts; middle-class households (income from $61,000 to $100,000) had median savings of $100,000.
Only in the highest-income band ($138,000 or more) were accumulations significant at a median of $452,000.
reuters.com/article/2015/05/28/us-column-miller-retirementinequality-idUSKBN0OD2FN20150528

charitable donations

 
 
2016 Retirees can make charitable donations from their Individual Retirement Accounts anytime under the latest U.S. budget deal.
 
 

Buying a Home

From Freakonomics 

Real-estate sales, however, are a matter of public record. And real-estate agents often do sell their own homes. A recent set of data covering the sale of nearly 100,000 houses in suburban Chicago shows that more than 3,000 of those houses were owned by the agents themselves.
Before plunging into the data, it helps to ask a question: what is the real-estate agent’s incentive when she is selling her own home? Simple: to make the best deal possible. Presumably this is also your incentive when you are selling your home. And so your incentive and the real-estate agent’s incentive would seem to be nicely aligned. Her commission, after all, is based on the sale price. 
But as incentives go, commissions are tricky. First of all, a 6 percent real-estate commission is typically split between the seller’s agent and the buyer’s. Each agent then kicks back half of her take to the agency. Which means that only 1.5 percent of the purchase price goes directly into your agent’s pocket. So on the sale of your $300,000 house, her personal take of the $18,000 commission is $4,500. Still not bad, you say. But what if the house was actually worth more than $300,000? What if, with a little more effort and patience and a few more newspaper ads, she could have sold it for $310,000? After the commission, that puts an additional $9,400 in your pocket. But the agent’s additional share—her personal 1.5 percent of the extra $10,000—is a mere $150. If you earn $9,400 while she earns only $150, maybe your incentives aren’t aligned after all. (Especially when she’s the one paying for the ads and doing all the work.) Is the agent willing to put out all that extra time, money, and energy for just $150?
There’s one way to find out: measure the difference between the sales data for houses that belong to real-estate agents themselves and the houses they sold on behalf of clients. Using the data from the sales of those 100,000 Chicago homes, and controlling for any number of variables—location, age and quality of the house, aesthetics, and so on—it turns out that a real-estate agent keeps her own home on the market an average of ten days longer and sells it for an extra 3-plus percent, or $10,000 on a $300,000 house. 
When she sells her own house, an agent holds out for the best offer; when she sells yours, she pushes you to take the first decent offer that comes along. Like a stockbroker churning commissions, she wants to make deals and make them fast. Why not? Her share of a better offer—$150—is too puny an incentive to encourage her to do otherwise.

BROKERS 

Check your fund manager’s privilege: James Saft
You might want to consider firing your money manager in favor of a woman or someone from a less wealthy background. Fund managers from families in the top 20 percent of parents’ income underperform those from the bottom 20 percent by 1.54 percentage points annually by a standard measure of risk-adjusted return, the study found.  “We argue that managers born poor face higher entry barriers into asset management, and only the most skilled succeed.

2016 NEW RULE

NEW RULE: REQUIRES BROKERS TO PUT YOUR INTERESTS FIRST 

U.S. brokers managing retirement accounts must adhere to tough new standards under an Obama administration rule released Wednesday that aims to protect millions of savers from conflicted investment advice. The increased obligation for brokers, known as a fiduciary duty, requires them to put customers’ interests ahead of their own. The White House contends it will collectively add billions of dollars annually to retirees’ nest eggs by eliminating hidden incentives that cause brokers to push investment products with higher fees and commissions. The regulation will have the broadest impact on IRAs, as the number of 401(k) plans affected by it was shrunk in the final version.

What the new U.S. fiduciary rule means for you
After years of debate, the U.S. Department of Labor issued a new rule on Wednesday that requires financial advisers who handle retirement accounts to act as "fiduciaries," which means putting the best interests of their clients first.

U.S. weakens retirement advice rule, responding to industry
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0X3122
A new U.S. rule aimed at protecting retirement savers from profit-hungry brokers turned out to be much weaker than an initial proposal after the Obama administration bowed to pressure from the financial services industry.
 

 

2014 OLD RULE Brokers are NOT REQUIRED TO ACT IN YOUR INTEREST when advising on you on what to do with your retirement money.
Brokers can send their local representatives to meet with you and they make it seem like this normal thing — you fill out the forms because you are retiring, and then a few years later, you meet with me and you don’t even realize you were sold two variable annuities inside an I.R.A.
 

2016 Update:  Fiduciary rule could make good for investors
At long last, investment advisers may be required to put your best interests ahead of their own.  The U.S. Department of Labor is applying the finishing touches to the so-called fiduciary rule - a geeky-sounding phrase that actually will mean a great deal to anyone with a 401(k) or Individual Retirement Account (IRA).  This rule will reshape the retirement advice business because it will require banks, brokers, mutual fund companies and insurance agents to keep fees low and protect your savings from excessive risk when they advise you, rather than focus on how much they can earn in commissions.  (A specific subset of advisers called Registered Investment Advisers, or RIAs, who typically work independently or for smaller firms, already are subject to a fiduciary duty standard.)  Opponents failed to stop the Labor Department last month, when Congress declined to add a rider to the omnibus federal spending bill that would have halted the rulemaking. If they try again, President Barack Obama is ready to veto any subsequent legislation aimed at halting the process.

April 10 2017 The Labor Department’s conflict-of-interest rule goes into effect.

 It’s the day when financial professionals who provide advice about the investments and insurance inside your IRA and 401(k) have to start acting in your best interest, as a fiduciary. What’s more, it’s also the day when advisers can only charge reasonable fees or earn reasonable commissions when managing your retirement account. BUT  watch out  there will be times when you might have to sign a BIC. That’s a contract that, in effect, says an adviser can charge you a commission to buy (and/or sell) investments and insurance for your retirement account and that you agree it’s in your best interest.

 

 

About the Stock Market

 

An old rule of thumb is that your stock allocation percentage should be 100 minus your age.
That is, a 30-year old should have 70% stocks / 30% bonds, and a 70-year old should have 30% stocks / 70% bonds. ~ http://www.mymoneyblog.com/

2015 U.S. public pension holdings drop to $3.2 trillion in third-quarter
The holdings of the largest 100 U.S. public pension systems dropped 4.9 percent to $3.2 trillion in the third quarter from the previous quarter because of negative earnings, according to U.S. Census Bureau data published on Wednesday.  Earnings fell from a gain of $32.6 billion in the second quarter of 2015 to a loss of $145.9 billion in the third. Total holdings were also 2.5 percent lower than the same quarter last year.

2015 About Hedge Funds

"The goal now seems to be that institutions want hedge funds to simply avoid any and all headline risk while earning a steady annual return stream.  The narrative shift is a classic performance chase by both investors and portfolio managers alike. Both sides are to blame here." “Hedge Fund” is a misnomer. Everyone wants to make hedge funds an asset class. It’s not. It’s a fund structure. The options and combinations are nearly endless.
 

Read Flash Boys and remember “The hidden passages and trapdoors that riddled the exchanges enabled a handful of players to exploit everyone else; the latter didn’t understand that the game had been designed precisely for the former.”

  • 'Flash' events hurt market liquidity for days: N.Y. Fed blog | Reuters http://ow.ly/R5K9F
  • Flash Boys Puts a Flashlight on Dark, Predatory HFT Trading | Dennis M. Kelleher
  • Fidelity warns that Baby Boomers may have too much in stocks 
    Baby Boomers may be too heavily invested in stocks, as the average 401(k) balance has surged 50 percent over the past five years.  Fidelity said it compared average asset allocations to an age-based target date fund and found 18% of people ages 50 to 54 had a stock allocation at least 10 percentage points or higher than recommended. For people ages 55 to 59, that figure increased to 27 percent.  An additional 11 percent of people ages 50 to 54 had 100 percent of their 401(k) assets in stocks, while 10 percent of people ages 55 to 59 had all of their 401(k) assets in stocks.  “One thing we learned from the last recession is that having too much stock, based on your target retirement age, in your retirement account can expose your savings to unnecessary risk." 

Former SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt told a group of U.S. state securities regulators that supporters of the proposed rule need to do more to "push back" against a political system that is "really rotten." 

  

Ex-SEC head blasts U.S. lawmakers for not backing Labor Dept. rule
Levitt, the SEC's longest-serving chairman, was speaking at a meeting of the North American Securities Administrators Association (NASAA), with members from U.S. states, Canada and Mexico.  The Department of Labor has been working for several years to overhaul regulations on how brokers advise clients on workplace retirement plans such as 401(k)s and individual retirement accounts.  The plan is designed to reduce potential conflicts of interest because advisers who offer rollover advice to retirees stand to benefit financially. Brokers would have to act as fiduciaries, or give advice that is in their clients' best interests. The move could save investors billions of dollars, supporters said.

 

Hedge Funds Do Half as Well as You Think

After scrubbing the data in an attempt to remove the biases, the professors conclude: "The historical data show that hedge funds have not, on average, meaningfully outperformed traditional portfolios of stocks and bonds after fees. On average, once returns have been adjusted for various sampling biases, hedge funds do not routinely generate double-digit returns."
 

How highly paid Wall Street guys could be a threat to your retirement money
 

Kiplinger How to Pick the Best Index Funds
 

2015 The top CEO in private equity has a rule for investing ― and it has generated billions in returns
The Blackstone Group has a stellar track record. The firm now manages manages more than $300 billion in total assets, while chief executive and cofounder Steven Schwarzman has a net worth of more than $11 billion.
"One of the rules I’ve learned is that struggling to try and think your way into making an investment is usually the best way to not have a great outcome."  He continued: "The best investments are the easiest ones to approve. Ironically, when a bunch of very smart people are sitting around a table for hours trying to figure out whether they should do something, that tends to not necessarily lead to the best results."  " The investments where people walk in and the sense is, ‘well, this looks absolutely terrific, let’s do it,’ those investments are almost always quite successful."

 
BITCOIN ESTATE PLANNING 
 
 
 
5 steps bitcoin holders should take when planning their estates

Most seasoned holders of bitcoin are aware of IRS Notice 2014-21. For those unaware, the notice holds that for US tax purposes, bitcoin is to be treated as property rather than currency. The notice is wrongheaded, foolish and probably was issued with intent to slow down bitcoin adoption. Nonetheless, we’re stuck with it until bitcoin adoption increases to the point where the IRS recognizes it as a currency.  Much ink has been spilled about the more obvious consequences of bitcoin’s classification as property, namely:
1. Whenever bitcoin is spent on goods or services, the spender must recognize taxable income or loss on the difference between tax basis (usually the price at which he acquired the bitcoin) and the fair market value of the bitcoin at the time spent.
2. Bitcoin miners must recognize ordinary income equal to the fair market value of the bitcoin mined at the time of mining.
3. If your employer pays you in bitcoin, such payments must be reported on your W2 and are subject to tax withholding in US dollars.

Five steps you need to take now in your estate plan.  
1. Get your step-up in your estate plan, and watch your step-down
2. Make sure your executor or trustee is aware that your bitcoin exists
3. Make sure your executor or trustee can get your private key
4. Make sure power of attorney allows your agent to access your bitcoin
5. Beware of the Prudent Investor Act

 

401(k)

 

WHEN IS IT OK TO TAP YOUR IRA

You can take money out of a 401(k) without penalty starting at age 59-and-a-half. You can also roll 401(k) money into an IRA and use it for a down payment on a first home or for tuition without penalty.  A lot of companies also offer Roth 401(k) options, where you may be able to withdraw principal at any time without taxes or penalty. http://www.bankrate.com/finance/money-guides/when-it-s-ok-to-tap-your-ira-1.aspx

U.S. workers miss billions in retirement matches: study

The vast majority of 401(k) plans offer to match employees' contributions, most commonly matching dollar for dollar up to 6 percent of annual pay, according to payroll processor Aon Hewitt. The second-most-common match offers 50 cents for each dollar employees contribute, up to 6 percent of pay.

Younger and lower-paid workers are most likely to miss out on matching funds, Financial Engines found. Those paid less than $40,000 are four times more likely to get less than the full match, compared with those earning more than $100,000 (42 percent vs. 10 percent). Meanwhile, employees under 30 were twice as likely as those over 60 to miss out (30 percent vs. 16 percent).

Youthful ignorance can be the most costly, since the missing money would have had decades to compound. For example, every $1,000 not contributed to a retirement plan in one's 40s means about $2,700 less in a retirement fund 20 years later, assuming 5 percent real returns annually. The same $1,000 contributed in one's 30s might have grown to nearly $4,500. In one's 20s, failure to contribute $1,000 could mean $7,300 less in retirement money.

Three tax loopholes for the merely middle class

2015 Retirees get big lessons on loopholes from budget deal
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0SR2CB20151102  
Even people decades away from retirement should pay close attention to how Congress just ended two lucrative ways of taking Social Security benefits, known jointly as the "claim now, claim more later" strategy.

 

Retirement Account Rollovers

 

 

 

Dec 23, 2014 Should you roll over your federal government retirement account into an individual retirement account?

IRA providers are salesmen and will not tell you the truth about rollovers from workplace retirement accounts to IRAs

Turner contacted seven mutual fund companies, seven banks and one insurance company. Most of the call center “advisers” didn’t offer fee comparisons and tended to focus on the narrow number of investment choices in the TSP compared with the myriad options available to IRA account holders. One offered Turner a $600 cash incentive to roll his account over, plus 300 free stock trades. Some companies gave him false information - one claimed he could reduce his fees while rolling over; one claimed that Turner had no control over his investments in the TSP.

Turner, who once worked at the U.S. Department of Labor, is director of the Pension Policy Center, an independent think tank in Washington. The calls were research for a paper on what he calls an “extreme case of bad advice." Eleven of the 15 companies he contacted advised him to roll over his funds from the federal Thrift Savings Plan (TSP), a move that would have cost thousands of dollars in higher fees over 10 years. Four declined to provide specific advice but pushed the idea that rollovers are desirable.

When you retire or change jobs, you can roll over savings from your 401(k) into a traditional or Roth IRA - and that is big business. Nine of 10 new IRA accounts are rollovers, according to the Investment Company Institute (ICI). Households transferred $288 billion from workplace plans to IRAs in 2010, according to the most recent ICI data - but made only $12.8 billion in direct contributions. And the rollover numbers are expected to swell as more boomers retire.

A rollover can make sense if you’re in a 401(k) plan with bad investment choices or high fees, or if you want to take advantage of the tax features of a Roth. But staying in the 401(k) is usually an option, and often a good one. Big plans can negotiate low fees. And 401(k) plans are subject to the fiduciary requirements of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA), meaning they must put the interests of account holders first. Not so with IRAs.

With the TSP, the choice is clear. The plan has a simple set of investment choices and ultra-low fees; its average net expense ratio last year was just under three basis points (a basis point is 1/100th of 1 percent). That’s much lower than most 401(k) plans, which had average mutual fund expense ratios of 58 basis points in 2013, according to the ICI. And IRA expenses are 25 to 30 basis points higher than 401(k)s, according to the U.S. Government Accountability Office.

Fees are a big issue.

Turner calculates that a $150,000 rollover from the TSP would be 4.4 percent poorer after 10 years if rolled over to an account charging 50 basis points; the loss would be 8.9 percent in an account levying 100 basis points, and 13.2 percent at 150 basis points. (He assumed a 5 percent annual rate of return.)

“This is something that’s difficult for many people to understand,” he says. “Normally if you hear something has a 1 percent fee, that sounds almost like nothing. But it makes a big difference over a long period of time.”

And you should beware the pitfalls of the "investment choice" argument. Often it’s a come-on to get investors into higher-cost actively managed mutual funds or to trade stocks, when most would be better off with a simple menu of low-cost passive mutual funds.

The red flags here are clear. There’s also a lesson if you happen to be in the TSP: Stay right where you are.
reuters.com/article/2014/12/23/us-column-miller-retirement-idUSKBN0K110020141223

PENSIONs

 

 

7 Ways Private Equity Is Gaming Your Pension By choosing private equity, plans keep workers in the dark
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-23/7-ways-private-equity-is-gaming-your-pension

12/22/14 Cromnibus Pension Provisions Gut 40 Years of Policy, Allow Existing Pensions to Be Slashed
Even if you're retired and vested in a private pension plan, your benefits could be cut by the Kline-Miller amendment.

November 10, 2014 by Todd Feathers With Equitable Sharing, forfeiture restrictions are lifted so long as the DOJ gets a cut.
https://www.muckrock.com/news/archives/2014/nov/10/asset-forfeiture-article/
Most states have strict laws concerning seized funds – here's how police and the feds work together to get around them.  The Department of Justice makes billions of dollars each year through deals with state and local police forces that can act as loopholes in more stringent state laws governing how much money police get to keep when they take a person's property without pressing charges.

QLAC

 

 

QLACs are a variation on a broader product category called deferred income annuities

http://www.qlacs.net/ 
Qualified Longevity Annuity Contract, that would provide a steady monthly payment until you die which let buyers pay an initial premium or make a series of scheduled payments and set a future date to start receiving income. Deferred annuities are less expensive to buy than immediate annuities, which start paying out monthly as soon as you purchase them. You can purchase the plans at or near your retirement age, typically 70, with payouts starting much later, usually at 80 or 85.  The advantage of these QLAC plans is that they provide some guaranteed regular income until death, so they can supplement Social Security. And the deferred feature allows you to generate much more income per dollar invested.
They CAN be purchased and held inside tax-deferred IRAs and 401(k) plans.  
The problem it had to fix was that required minimum distributions mean that 401(k) and IRA participants must start taking withdrawals at age 70-1/2, which conflicts with the later payout dates of longevity annuities.
The new rules state that if a longevity annuity meets certain requirements, the distribution requirement is waived on the contract value (which cannot exceed $125,000 or 25 percent of the buyer's account balance, whichever is less).   That not only makes a deferred annuity possible inside a tax-deferred plan, it also can encourage their use for anyone interested in reducing the total amount of savings subject to mandatory distributions. 
Sixteen insurance companies are now selling QLAC variations, up from just four in 2012.  Employer sponsors of 401(k) plans are showing more interest in adding income options to their plans, but they have been slow to add annuity options. Still, MetLife Inc is one insurance company testing this market, with a 401(k) product introduced last month.

POSSIBLE INVESTMENT IDEAS  FOR YOUR MONEY 

 

 

PeerStreet

PeerStreet an E-Trade for real estate, where instead of betting on stocks and ETFs, investors are building a portfolio of real estate backed securities. The company partners with a special class of lenders, known as hard-money lenders who often loan money to fixers and flippers. They are the kind of borrowers who require fast access to cash for durations much shorter than the typical mortgage. PeerStreet acts as an intermediary and passes the hard-money lenders' loans on to its members, who can invest as little as $1,000 in deals. When a loan is filled, it's purchased from the hard-money lender and investors get paid in annualized interest rates every month.  "Nobody really had access to (real estate backed loans)," said Brew Johnson, 40, PeerStreet's co-founder and CEO. "Historically, it's been a very small, country club-like network. Wealthy real estate experts and their (associates) would be the ones who generally got access."  The industry has thus far been a closed-door, old boys' club, in part, because these kind of loans require a ton of upfront capital, so interested investors would have to put up hundreds of thousands of dollars in cash just to participate in a deal. And they would, of course, have to know the right people.  Beyond that, PeerStreet is also filling a niche.

LOYAL3 IS FOR THE LITTLE GUY TO GET INTO THE MARKET FEE FREE AND FOR 10.00?

Founded in 2008, Loyal3's mission is to democratize stock market investing.
The company gives everyday investors, who want to put as little as $100 to work in emerging brands, access to IPO'S initial public offerings.
And it sells fractional shares of stocks, making it possible to buy a piece of Google for $10, as opposed to a single share for $535.

2015 The Four Horsemen: Amazon | Apple | Facebook (owns Instagram)  | Google ----> Who Wins/Loses
Scott Galloway trademark analyst.

The new 'Horsemen of the Nasdaq' - how long will they ride?  
Will the tech leaders of today be the has-beens of tomorrow?
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN0M12D420150305

 

Hard-won lessons about money and investing by Matt Cutts

RETIRE USING THE 4% RULE

 

 

The Shockingly Simple Math Behind Early Retirement

The average American retirement lasts about 18 years. Most Americans will need high priced long term health care.

The 4% Rule: The Easy Answer to “How Much Do I Need for Retirement"

The Safe Withdrawal Rate
is the maximum rate at which you can spend your retirement savings, such that you don’t run out in your lifetime. 
Just take your annual spending level, and multiply it by 25. -- SPEND
That’s how much you need to retire, at the most.

A $25,000 A YEAR SPENDER NEEDS $625,000 TO RETIRE.
I’ve got more than that, plus various safety margins in the lifestyle, so all is good.  Without undue risk, and as long as you have skills that can be used to earn money eventually in the future (hint: you do), I can even advocate an SWR of 5%. In other words, get your expenses down to $25k, and you can quit your job on $500k or less. Then you can use the methods described in First Retire, then Get Rich to gradually increase your safety margin (and effectively decrease your withdrawal rate) as you age.  So there’s no need to debate. 4% is a perfectly good answer, which means 25 times your annual expenses is a perfectly good goal to save for. Along the way, you might find your annual expenses melting away, which makes things ever-more-attainable (as shown in the shockingly simple math behind early retirement post). But worry, you must not.

Early Retirement
http://earlyretirementextreme.com/

How Has The 4% Rule Held Up Since The Tech Bubble And The 2008 Financial Crisis? (Just Fine)